IMF稱歐洲債務危機最差的時候或許已結束，但全球流動性緊張和中國發展放緩影響了亞太地區新興國家的工業活動。
IMF經濟學家奧利維爾·布蘭查德說，“好的消息是，歐洲似乎已經再次開始發展。在新興市場經濟中，壞消息恰好是這方面的。”
中國經濟一直以來大體上不受近來市場動盪的影響，但現在開始放緩發展，今年的速度是7.6%，2014年將下降到7.3%。
印度的通脹率將近達到兩位元數位，今年的發展速度為3.8%，比之前的預測下降了兩個百分點。
澳大利亞與印度之間的生意量很大，該國2013年的增長速度可能放緩0.5個百分點，為2.5%。
亮點在日本，政府大力刺激的措施似乎使該國從通貨緊縮的迴圈中走了出來。
但IMF總裁克莉絲蒂娜·拉加德稱全世界最大經濟體持續的政治僵局使得未來的發展前景更為複雜。
“顯然，我們都知道，未能提高債務限額將對美國經濟造成嚴重後果，對世界經濟也是如此。”
除非國會能在債務限額上達成協議，美國將在10月17日無錢償還債務。如果這一情況發生，經濟學家稱金融市場將崩潰，利率將飆升，美國將再次回到衰退中。
經濟學家Erik Brattberg說很多國家都很擔憂，“他們看著華盛頓目前的現狀，想知道究竟怎麼回事，為什麼會這樣，這顯然不是好事，為什麼不解決呢？”
好消息是，華盛頓議員們似乎即將達成妥協。
IMF稱一旦阻止災難性的美國違約發生，在發達經濟體需求和發展增長的幫助下，新興國家的發展將得到加強。
WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund says global growth patterns are shifting once again. The IMF’s latest outlook shows declining prospects for the Asia and Pacific regions - down collectively nearly 1 percent from initial forecasts earlier this year. For most countries, the impact should be partially offset by improving conditions in advanced economies. Fiscal and political problems in the U.S., though, continue to create uncertainty worldwide.
The IMF says the worst of the European debt crisis may be over, but tighter global liquidity and slow growth in China has dampened industrial activity in emerging countries in Asia and the Pacific.
IMF’s chief economist, Olivier Blanchard, said, “The good news is Europe seems to have started growth again. In emerging market economies, that’s where the bad news is.
China’s economy, which has been largely insulated from recent market volatility, will expand at a slower pace - 7.6 percent this year, slowing again to 7.3 percent in 2014.
India, where inflation is approaching double digits, is projected to grow 3.8 percent this year, down 2 percent from earlier forecasts.
And Australia, which does a lot of business with India, likely will expand half a percent more slowly in 2013 - at two-and-a-half percent.
The bright spot is Japan, where heavy government stimulus appears to have lifted the country out of a deflationary cycle.
But IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said the ongoing political impasse in the world’s largest economy is complicating prospects for future growth.
“Obviously, we know and you know by now that failure to raise the debt ceiling would cause serious damage to the U.S. economy, but also to the global economy,” she said.
Unless Congress can reach agreement on the debt ceiling, the U.S. will run out of money to pay its obligations by October 17. If that happens, economists say financial markets will crash, interest rates will soar and the U.S. could slip back into recession.
Economist Erik Brattberg said many countries are worried. “They look at what’s happening in Washington right now and they wonder why this is happening? Why are they doing this? This is clearly not a good thing. Why can’t they just work it out?”
The good news is that Washington lawmakers appear to be moving closer to a compromise.
Barring a calamitous U.S. default, the IMF says growth in emerging countries should strengthen, helped in part by increasing demand and growth in advanced economies.
